Junking Out On ‘08
I apologize for the lack of posting. It seems I have caught the ‘08 primary bug and what spare time I usually use for blogging, is being co-opted by reading the big national blogs on the presidential race.
Plus, we’re just now leaving the lull of the holiday season with local politics, so there hasn’t been much to say that hasn’t been said. There have been a few interesting fireworks (like this interesting post on the SC blowup by Dick) but by and large it’s been quiet. (Some would say, toooo quiet!)
So I took the opportunity to recharge the batteries, deal with the very busy holidays, and get some work done. (You know, the kind that pays.) I’m hoping for an uneventful start to the new City Council, but I know that’s pushing it. 
Going back to my temporary obsession, tomorrow is the NH primary, and it looks like Obama has gotten a bounce in the polls, leading Clinton up to 10 points for tomorrow’s content. Normally, there’s a month between Iowa and NH, and a month in politics is a eon where anything can happen, but with the schedule so truncated this year, Obama doesn’t need to do much to capitalize on his Iowa bounce. If what people are saying is true, and Clinton allies are the ones responsible for arranging the schedule this way, thinking it would benefit her, well, she’s being hoisted on her own petard.
I believe that Edwards is unlikely to recover, looking at the polls, which is both unfortunate (I like him) and fortunate (the sooner a dominant anti-Clinton candidate appears, the better).
If you haven’t yet registered to vote, you need to do so by January 16th, by the way.
January 7th, 2008 at 7:34 pm
New Hampshire predictions:
Democrats:
1. Barack Obama
2. Hillary Clinton
3. John Edwards
Republicans:
1. Mitt Romney
2. John McCain
3. Mike Huckabee
Democrats- If the new polling is correct, Obama’s got another victory in the bag. Hillary should have a better showing here then an Iowa, but she really needs to win this state, which it doesn’t look like that’s gonna happen. Edwards will most likely place third, he was never really close to the number #1 spot in NH, and been trailing the other two for some time. Hillary should have won this state, but voters are now realizing the real Hillary and she’s gonna vaporize over the next couple of weeks.
Republicans- The winner of NH is gonna be the real story here. The winner is really still up for grabs. McCain has had a steady lead for at least the last week, however some polls show that that lead is dwindling. Channel 7 actually had Romney leading by 4 points. Still within the margin of error, but Im hoping Romney is able to pull this one off. He really needs to. If McCain even comes in second, Id say he’s in a really tough position for the rest of the campaign.
If Romney wins NH, along with his unreported big win in Wyoming, and with a strong second place finish in Iowa, he’ll be on his way to victory.
January 8th, 2008 at 9:17 am
Both Hillary Clinton and Mitt Romney have financial staying power even with second place. I believe both candidates have already indicated that they are in through Super Tuesday regardless.