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September 29, 2008

Bailout Fails

by at 2:10 pm.

I’m of two minds on this. On the one hand, something needs to be done. On the other, I’d rather it be from the bottom up, not rewarding from the top down, when those same people got us into this mess.

THIS is the opportunity of a lifetime, Democrats! I say let’s produce a bill that tries to help as many eligible (with caveats) homeowners, which will help those bad loans not go bad, vote to rescind the tax cuts for the very wealthy (not even the wealthy, just the very wealthy), and also reenact a tax on capital gains to pay for a second, more restrictive, smaller, less reward-the-thieves bailout.

I guarantee you Main Street will happily see taxes raise on the fat cats on Wall Street. Especially the ones who took their golden parachute out in the last year or so as the banks failed around them.

Update: Meteor Blades agrees, and elaborates:

Moreover, it’s easy to understand the bind the Democratic leaders were in. Most of them hated the Paulson plan but felt constrained in how much they could adjust and add to it and still get enough votes to pass it. They sought to reach a compromise in the bipartisan fashion that Republicans always say they want but rarely act on since GOPspeak for “bipartisan” roughly translates as “kowtow to us and shut your frakkin’ piehole.” And they had the added obstacle of John McCain fluttering around, mostly silent, while trying to figure out which side to come down on in order to take credit for whatever eventually would happen. As it turned out, McCain came down on both sides, proving once again what a two-faced, impulse-fueled jackass he is.

Ultimately, the compromise failed. Doesn’t matter whether you think that’s good or bad. It’s dead.
[…]
But the defeat offers the Democrats a chance to rethink this whole shebang, to look at some of the ideas from people who got ignored the first time around.
[…]
One of those so far unlistened to is economist Brad DeLong. Although he reluctantly supported the bailout version we saw go down today, as did Paul Krugman, he’s all along thought the 1992 Swedish plan makes more sense, as does Krugman.

Here’s what he had to say on the subject today:

Nationalization has the best chance of avoiding large losses and possibly even making money for the taxpayer. And it is the best way to deal with the moral hazard problem. […]

Someone else who should get some face time among the Democrats is economist Nouriel Roubini.

On Sunday, he explained that any systemic banking crisis requires recapitalization to avoid a massive contraction in credit. “But, purchasing toxic/illiquid assets of the financial system is not the most effective and efficient way to recapitalize the banking system.” He points out that a recent study by the International Monetary Fund of 42 banking crises found that in only seven instances did the governments in question buy the toxic assets.
[…]
He calls the now-defeated bailout “socialism for the rich, the well-connected and Wall Street. And it is a scandal that even Congressional Democrats have fallen for this Treasury scam that does little to resolve the debt burden of millions of distressed home owners.

The post is quite long, I recommend you read it.

11 Responses to “Bailout Fails”

  1. Guy Fox Says:

    Lynne,

    “THIS is the opportunity of a lifetime, Democrats!” I have to call Bullshit on that. This is a major opportunity for the suits on BOTH sides of the aisle in DC to restore some faith to those of us on Main Street.

    I don’t give a F*&# which party figures this mess out. It needs to be done by both. I for one am glad that the house GOP killed this thing. Hopefully something that LENDS the money to these greedy bastards instead of just handing it over will prevail.

    Thaddeus McCotter (R) Michigan had a great line yesterday. I’ll paraphrase- “What we’re doing with this bailout is ringing America’s doorbell with a $700 Billion bag of dung in our hands, dropping it on their doorstep and then expecting them to be happy about it. This bill can’t pass.”

    To put this in greater prospective, McCotter and John Boehner are usually in lockstep and Boehner is in favor of the bail out. Strange times indeed.

  2. Ryan Says:

    A few things:

    This is a really interesting comment on BMG. http://www.bluemassgroup.com/showComment.do?commentId=154506

    You should do yourself a favor and read it.

    Second, I say that we should make Wall Street pay for this bill. A 25 cents per transaction on each stock on Wall Street would raise $350 billion a year. Let Wall Street pay for their own damn problems.

    After all the bailouts are paid for and no more are needed, end the tax.

    Any profits the US makes from these bailouts could then go toward a) creating new regulations and, if necessary, regulatory agencies and b) toward keeping people in their homes, especially those who fell victim to predatory lending, by restructuring their mortgages.

  3. waittilnextyr Says:

    The discussion is focused on how to patch the problem, with little note given to correct the basic problem. That is, we have become a national of wealth spenders, as opposed to wealth creators. The rules have changed so that we can borrow against our real estate assets for spending not related to improving the asset, and the federal government gives us a tax break to do so. Meanwhile, we allow multi-national companies to compete humans around the world in a race to the bottom, taking advantage of tax policies enabled by their lobbyists to maximize their profit in doing so. The primary incentives in our Capital society are aimed at those who manipulate wealth, rather than creating things of value.

    We must:
    a) change our trade deals to require equal treatment of workers on both sides of the border
    b) change out tax policies to favor savings over borrowing and domestic work over foreign work
    c) modify the individual tax code to discourage excessive compensation by closing all loopholes and increasing the progressivity of the tax rates
    d) individually live within our means

  4. kpem Says:

    I do not want to pay for all the people that are falsely inflating our economy. I could not agree with waittilnextyr more abot individuals living within our means. I am so sick of paying for people that should not and do not own what they have. I have close friends that I know that have stopped paying their credit card bills because they were told that they might as well. (someone now pays them with higher interest) They bought homes that they could not afford and for several years got to send their kids to schools that I could not “afford” on a higher income. Many may disagree but I think many people are just not meant to ever be home owners. I have saved my money, I have invested my money, I live in a home in Lowell when I could live in Winchester, we have one (4) year car payment and have kept one 10 year old car, and we have not had a credit card in 10 years. I am done! A thank you to those who stood up for personal responsibilty and stopping the tax loophole bleed. I will take my free cash and buy stock. The market will respond without against Bush.

  5. Lynne Says:

    The problem is, individuals WILL live beyond their means if they are allowed. We need to shepherd good behavior, not blame everyone after the fact.

    The fact is, these last 10-20 years, credit was too easy to get, and too enticing with low rates, low payments, etc. That is a high-level policy decision by Bush and the executive branch (the Fed, etc). Alan “Bubbles” Greenspan and Son of Greenspan (Bernake) preserved the short term at the expense of the long term with their central bank policy.

    Yes, it sucks when you watch people around you do the stupid. However, you are NEVER going to stop some people from wanting to feel good in the short term at the expense of the long term - just like you are never going to see the average corporation voluntarily act responsibly for the long term and forgo short term profits to maintain long term viability. Sorry, that’s human nature. That’s psychology. What good and responsible regulations and tax systems do is incentivize people to do the right thing despite their first instinct to think only short term. That’s what’s been missing, from both our social policy, and from our economic policy, certainly since King George got into office. It extends back a little bit though, Greenspan was stupid long before he had a stupid boss. With Congressional Republican (and some Dem) help (deregulating the accounting industry over Clinton’s veto which resulted in a bubble, and Enron/Worldcom).

    Also, there is NO education in our schools regarding responsible budgeting and long term financial thinking. How do we expect people to know what you, kpem, know or figured out, magic? Fairies maybe? Little elves?

  6. Guy Fox Says:

    “Also, there is NO education in our schools regarding responsible budgeting and long term financial thinking. How do we expect people to know what you, kpem, know or figured out, magic? Fairies maybe? Little elves?”

    WRONG. I graduated from GLRVTS in 1996. One of the required components of math and Accounting 1 was personal finance (balancing a checkbook etc.) They paid you gave you a list of bills and gave you instructions of what needed to be paid when. It was up to you to do the work. They taught us how to open a bank account, read a statement, and fill out checks. I’ve since said that the rest of High Schools should be made to leanr something from the “dumb vokies”.

  7. Lynne Says:

    Well it ain’t universal, my friend. That’s the first program I’ve really heard of. Great for you, but it should be required for everyone. I certainly didn’t get anything in school (other than a week in jr. high of all places! We did this checkbook thing in Social Studies).

    Most friends I have when I ask say they didn’t get anything either…

    So good on the votech! I wonder if that program still exists? Of course, balancing checkbooks is still only one little tiny part of the whole finance-and-budget thing anyway. It would need to be far more comprehensive than that, talking about loans, credit cards, and mortgages. Etc etc.

  8. Guy Fox Says:

    Actually Mrs. Fox also took a similar course in Brockton. I would wager that part of the math/accounting course still exists as both teachers I had are still teaching there. The course also gave us a look at credit cards and loans all be it simple loans. But still I learned a lot.

    I too think that all seniors nationwide should have a “personal finance management” component in their math classes. But there I go again, giving away my platform for when I run for office for free….

  9. kpem Says:

    ” It would need to be far more comprehensive than that, talking about loans, credit cards, and mortgages. Etc etc.”

    Lynne,
    These are things you learn after living in the adult world. (would be nice to learn them earlier) It is an ego thing that drives these people not a lack of education. We go camping and when a few new trailers come in all the sudden you see an influx of new trailers, when a few new boats come in next you see a bunch of new boats, then comes the new pick up trucks. It is all ego as these people can not afford them. If they were going to teach something in school maybe it would be self esteem and self control so these people could just say no. I know so many people in Lowell and Dracut that have interest only mortgages. Completely irresponsible and they now better. I watched Greenspan for years in shock and awe waiting for the rate hike. It never happened and it over inflated home prices through the roof. It left us with three rental homes to sell at a much higher price then they should have ever sold for. I honestly feel bad for the new owners as they are probably screwed. (I know 3 out of the 3 went to people with high interest variable rate loans) It is so sad that the government needs to save people from themselves!

  10. Lynne Says:

    My point, though, kpem, is that that behavior needs to be regulated by making credit less free flowing, therefore making living beyond your means a little less easy. It is human nature to desire short term gain even though it’s not sustainable.

    The next thing we have to go after are credit card companies. They are even worse, if you can believe it, than the mortgage companies have been. At least with a mortgage, there’s collateral. What’s with giving out tens of thousands in unsecured credit??? If the credit companies had a national cap on how high an interest rate they could charge, you’d see them getting a little more selective on who they’d give out credit to. (Hint: it wouldn’t be $5000 limits to college kids.)

  11. kpem Says:

    Again many of us screwed ourselves with a Sears credit Card at 18 w/ the $2000 limit but we learned from it. It is the credit card company that gives a card to the same person that has not payed their bill over and over again at a higher rate. I understand that we need tighter regulations to protect dumb people from themselves. (maybe we should be studying the “spending” addiction going on) I worked at a bank and wrote car loans and mortgages years ago and knew which ones would default (we had to keep some of the dealers happy so wrote em any ways w/ 11-22% interest rates) So if we do not do the bail out wont we be restricting credit? This just lets people and companies know that we can spend, spend, spend and there will be a bailout or another lender that will accept you. I have zero concerns about getting credit if need be even without a bailout. Those that do should not be getting it anyways. The market will adjust to where it shoulf be.

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