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Last week the Campaign Committee to Elect Eileen Donoghue to the State Senate issued its first web campaign video.
The 30-second clip features a number of voters. I recognized Ann-Marie Page, Matt Gendron and Leo Sheridan, Sr., who in their own right are community activists.
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July 27th, 2010 at 7:20 pm
Don’t you think the largest union in the state endorsing Doherty is a little more blog worthy?
July 27th, 2010 at 7:54 pm
No, not right now. I want to wait and see what some of the other unions do. Can you give me some information on the political clout the MTA leadership has in the 1st Middlesex, and how successful they are in GOTV? I am not familiar with them mainly because the Lowell teachers belong to another union.
July 28th, 2010 at 9:54 am
Oh noes, LiL doesn’t write about an endorsement for Doherty. We must be ebil! Ebil I say! Or maybe someone was busy all weekend with out of town guests and the Folk Fest, then came down the flu and felt like shit. Or maybe it’s because it doesn’t really matter what union endorses Doherty, we still think he’s not the best candidate for the job?
Yeesh, people.
July 28th, 2010 at 5:58 pm
You know, it’s 2010.
You can’t run an ad with only white people, or viewers are going to think, “What’s with all the white people?” It doesn’t read as “ordinary folks” anymore, because the ordinary folks that people know in 2010 include at least some people who aren’t white. It’s going to read as “white people.”
July 28th, 2010 at 9:59 pm
Very organized campaign. My neighborhood got canvased a couple weeks ago by a couple teens. I talked with one of them for maybe 10 seconds and got a follow up letter.
July 28th, 2010 at 10:23 pm
saw Eileen Saturday @ FF, was with my little one, who had signed up to hold signs (that’s my girl), talked briefly with Eileen about “how cute was that!” and received a follow up note on holding signs on Monday morning. I’d agree with -b.
July 28th, 2010 at 11:21 pm
That is an ad made for people who know someone in the ad, personally.
Which adds up to a big chunk of Lowell voters, I’ll bet.
July 29th, 2010 at 9:47 am
Big chunk of Lowell voters, true. The winner of this election will carry the towns.
July 29th, 2010 at 12:06 pm
PC,
Just some quick numbers:
In the Congressional primary, Eileen beat Beloved Lowell Icon Nikki Tsongas by 2450 votes. Doherty, whatever else may be said about him, is not a Beloved Lowell Icon, but let’s generously assume he keeps that margin the same.
The other towns in the district cast a total of 5240 votes in that primary. (For Pepperell, I’m using the number of votes cast in the last gubernatorial primary). In order to make up for Donoghue’s lead in Lowell, he would have to beat her by better than 73%-27% in all of the other towns.
I am somewhat less than certain that will happen.
July 29th, 2010 at 12:09 pm
Among the communities involved in that special election, Lowell cast 63.9% of the votes.
July 29th, 2010 at 1:22 pm
If either of these two candidates can motivate the electorate, those numbers are meaningless. I know Doherty has been working his ass off out there.
July 29th, 2010 at 1:34 pm
“The winner of this election will carry the towns.”
That’s some serious magical thinking there. The reason everyone thinks the towns are ignored in the district is, well, because there are less votes there combined.
Keep in mind, that the 5th CD encompasses many more towns (all the way down to Acton, even!), there are only a few towns outside of Lowell for the Senate district. That doesn’t even include Chelmsford, one of the largest towns of the area.
July 29th, 2010 at 3:04 pm
My theory is that she has Lowell wrapped up. She needs to motivate her base here in the city while trying to knock him down in the towns. Just because the numbers are here, that doesn’t guarantee a turnout.
July 29th, 2010 at 3:11 pm
Yes, but it’d be difficult, at best, to lose in Lowell pretty significantly, and win by winning the towns by merely a little.
My impression about the Donoghue campaign is it’s working very hard for every vote, Lowell-based or not. And with two Lowell based candidates, I very much doubt that low a turnout here. If anything, the towns will be depressed.
July 30th, 2010 at 11:09 pm
“If either of these two candidates can motivate the electorate….”
I must disagree with your premise, that the electorate stayed home for the Congressional primary. That election was what Joe Biden might call a “BFD.” People were plenty motivated.
Why would you think voters would be more fired up about a state senate primary with two candidates than a U.S. Congressional primary with five?
July 30th, 2010 at 11:15 pm
“Lynne Says:
July 29th, 2010 at 3:11 pm
Yes, but it’d be difficult, at best, to lose in Lowell pretty significantly, and win by winning the towns by merely a little.”
The towns could tip the election if it was close in Lowell but a blowout everywhere else. With Eileen’s long career and recent Congressional campaign, and Doherty’s Meehan connections, they both are going to have sufficiently robust organizational capacity to avoid getting blown out anywhere.
But if somebody lost Lowell pretty significantly - if it wasn’t close - the other towns can’t possibly make up for it. Not in this election.