Left In Lowell

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August 24, 2012

Warren Needs To Work On Her 1-2 Punch

by at 10:53 am.

Elizabeth Warren stopped by Lowell, yesterday. The Blog of Record has some footage.

Jen Myers has a few photos at her new blog, Room 50.

I think Warren will win in November, if only by the shear mass of Democrats turning out. This is not a special election. In 2010, Brown got 1.2 million votes to Coakley’s 1.1 million. In 2008, Obama got 1.9 million votes to McCain’s 1.1 million. This suggests that McCain’s supporters turned out, for Brown, plus another 100K. I’d expect Obama’s total from 2008 to be a ceiling. But, I can’t see Brown making a victory out of the potential 700K voters in between him and a full term in the Senate.

That said, I’m not too happy with the TV ads out there for Brown where prominent Democrats are “giving permission,” as it were, to other Democrats to vote for Brown. Her strategy in Lowell should be to ‘lose by less.’ That way her large margins of victory in more solid Democrat areas will carry the day.

20 Responses to “Warren Needs To Work On Her 1-2 Punch”

  1. Joe S. Says:

    I think that for Warren to win in November it will take a major effort to get-out-the-vote on behalf of the Democrats.

    To the point on Brown’s ads, it is true that they are silent on policy and proposed direction. However, they are effective in selling the common man image to the masses. But that “common man” will likely continue to support policies that give the very wealthy unfettered means to suck up the wealth of the middle class, those who actually work for a living.

  2. joe from Lowell Says:

    The presidential election is the greatest get-out-the-vote effort imaginable. Many more people will go to the polls this time than in the off-off-year special election, and they will do so at the end of a high-profile election campaign that will have the effect of driving people into their partisan corners.

  3. Mike Hayden Says:

    I think the vote will be very large and I think the results will be as follows when the smoke clears it will be a very sad day for the Democrats all around and I am an independent but we will not know till that Tuesday in November . Good Luck to all

  4. Brian Flaherty Says:

    I would vote for a cat before Warren but if I was a fence sitter, I would be turned off by her preachy, holier than thou, sanctimonious voice.

  5. Magnolia Says:

    Kind of have to agree with Brian above. She needs to work on her presentation and voice projection. She comes across as a whiny old lady, which she is not.

  6. Lynne Says:

    Dems will turn out in November. And the GOTV for Warren is pretty insane from what iI can tell, at least from the cave I’ve been living in.

    She only sounds sanctimonious to people who already hate her, and spout the line that she’s some elitist prof from Harvard. The reality is that she’s actually very warm and approachable and speaks pretty plainly. It’s just that compared to an empty suit, she sounds way more intelligent…

    Warren will likely WIN in Lowell, BTW, Jack…it’s the outskirts that are red. Pretty much down the line in past elections, Lowell is on the blue side. But you should know that. ;)

  7. Lynne Says:

    And since when has Mike showed his face around here? Finally, a comment from him without personal insults and anger! Turning over a new leaf?

    And I doubt very much you are truly “independent.” You might be registered that way, but let’s be clear, how many Dems have you EVER voted for in a general election?

  8. Mike Hayden Says:

    Actually Lynne I have mostly always worked on or voted for Dems Like Murphy, Pangy, McGonagle and others There have been very few republicans I have worked for or voted for until this year.

  9. Jack Says:

    I have no doubt that Mike Hayden was a good Democrat, back in the day. That day of course being, when the local party was used as a blue collar entitlement program that favored nepotism, doling out decent paying Union jobs to cronies that ensured the vig was promptly paid.

    Oh, but then those pesky equal opportunity laws were shoved down the City’s throat. It was bad enough having to hire the French, but now Blacks and Browns. Ferchrissakes! They wouldn’t even pay the vig.

    Then the reformers moved in, seeking to improve efficiency. How the hell could you do side work with City equipment, if your foreman had to account for what you did all day. The City wages were stagnant, there were no kickbacks and you had to do more work.

    Friggin’ Democrats!

  10. joe from Lowell Says:

    Can anyone come up with any examples of a male politician being criticized because of how his voice sounds?

  11. Brian Flaherty Says:

    Joe from Lowell - um, George W. Bush. John Kerry. The Kennedys. LBJ. Bill Clinton. Ronald Reagan.

    Nice try though. The victim card is always a tried and true Democratic tactic.

  12. Brian Flaherty Says:

    And Jack you’re right but I too was a Democrat for many years but left in 2002 after the party went off the reservation. For the record I vote for Dems (Colleen Garry, Dick Howe for example) but am unenrolled.

  13. Renee Says:

    Democrats crushed Republicans in 2010, they’ll do it again. Sorry, it was a clean sweep two years ago. Except for the few local state-rep races in which the Republican happen a respected individual on the Board of Selectmen.

    Otherwise, I’m one of those one-issue voters, and I don’t assume because they’re a Republican it’s automatic they share that view. In fact, I’m better off voting for a Democrat at the local level, because social programs/funding supports my view in many circumstances.

  14. Renee Says:

    “Can anyone come up with any examples of a male politician being criticized because of how his voice sounds?”

    Well, we judge the mayor on how well he dresses at 6am in the morning.

  15. Jack Says:

    @BF And by “reservation,” you mean? You thought hiring the French was enough of a compromise?

  16. Art is Fun Says:

    Another former Dem. I don’t feel I left the party, I feel the party left me. In ‘08 I was a Hillary supporter 100%. This year I’m supporting Eileen, Nikki and Brown. In my opinion if Warren wins we will have 2 John Kerrys in the Senate. Neither of which will remember where Lowell is now that they don’t need us anymore.I have met and spoken with both candidates and I strongly believe Brown will represent my interests and remember who put him there. Just my 2cents.

  17. Prince Charming Says:

    In another attempt to be all things to all people, the senator will not be attending his party’s convention because of his National Guard training. He doesn’t want to admit that there’s an “R” at the end of his name. You can deny your bellybutton too but it’s still there. Just my 2 cents.

  18. Jack Says:

    I’m 48 years old and have followed national politics since I debated in 6th grade on behalf of Jimmy Carter vs my best friend, who supported Gerry Ford. Laugh if you like, but I think Carter was a better man than the office allowed.

    I can’t fathom these words, “I don’t feel I left the party, I feel the party left me.”

    Mostly, when I hear this, I think of Union members that have been lifted to the upper middle class by the organized labor movement working collaboratively with the Democratic Party over several decades. But now, they got theirs. Being set, they turn their back on the cause and vote to preserve their wealth. Why? Because lying shits, like Karl Rove, have scared them. They have turned their backs on the cause because they are frightened. Pathetic.

  19. Joe S. Says:

    It’s no wonder Brown skipped the convention - he would not want to be associated with this:
    http://www.harpers.org/archive/2012/08/hbc-90008805

    Or this:
    http://2012.talkingpointsmemo.com/2012/08/cnn-rnc-convention-camerawoman.php?ref=fpblg

  20. joe from Lowell Says:

    Joe from Lowell - um, George W. Bush. John Kerry. The Kennedys. LBJ. Bill Clinton. Ronald Reagan.

    Nope. Not a single one of them was criticized for the sound of his voice. For their speaking habits, sure, but denunciations like yours, focusing on the actual sound of the candidate’s voice, are unique to women.

    Oh, and if “the victim card” - that horrible habit of disagreeing when we think something wrong is being done - is all the Democrats have, why are we kicking your asses?

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