Member of the reality-based community of progressive (not anonymous) Massachusetts blogs
It’s late, so I’ll be brief.
With a January 2010 turnout of 20,000+, on the wave of anti-health care reform & tea party madness, Scott Brown shocked the world and won Lowell by 1,002 votes.
It looked like this:
The graph shows the % of voters for Coakley, decreasing Left to Right. This shows where the candidates’ support lies.
But, with a June 2013 turnout of half that, things went the other way.
The graph shows the % of voters for Markey, decreasing Left to Right. This shows where the candidates’ support lies.
I like this graph best. If you subtract Gomez % from Brown %, you see where the GOP brand is softening in Lowell. Ward 1 is just filled with a bunch of “Hooray for me! Democrats.” Pfft.
Some thought jots:
- Looks like Stephen Lynch’s efforts, during the primary, and Ed Markey’s efforts in the general; to call up the SEA community worked well.
- The Precincts that drive the municipal elections lean Republican. Even though, they are mostly registered Dems and Unenrolleds. *blech*
- The “Mills to Martinis” profiteering is completely screwing up ‘Lowell’ politics. I <3 Ward 2!
All the other bloggers are chiming in on the Coakley gubernatorial “trial balloon” reported in the Globe, so I might has well have a say. The internets are exploding with a collective “NOOOOOOOOO!” and we all know why.
Susan of Below Boston has a particularly pointed take:
If Martha Coakley is ‘considering running’ for MA Governor because some of her former campaign staff are ‘giddy’ because they just came off working in the Ed Markey campaign which was ‘successful’, and she’s getting phone calls from some of them saying :’We know how to run a successful campaign now Martha!, Let’s try again, come on! It will be better this time, you’ll see’.
She better not seriously pick up these calls from these jokers – some of the activists on the South Shore had to ‘endure’ remnants of her campaign staff, who, for some totally unknown reason, but most possibly in my opinion it was because this state is in election overload and the truly BEST campaign operatives decided to take a ‘break’ after November of ’12 and the Coakley remnants found themselves with the opportunity to do something that most people who had previously failed so spectacularly seldom get a chance to do: get a second chance to prove themselves.
A few proved themselves alright – proved again why Martha Coakley lost, and in a few short weeks managed to alienate an entire region South of Boston for Ed Markey.
Dick Howe also has a post up as well, with more general analysis, where he’s a little more supportive. I’m wondering how he would react to Susan’s take, because not only did Coakley lose to Brown spectacularly, but her campaign was horrendous, and do we have any evidence she’d change any of the horses midstream??
Here’s my advice, Martha: if you want to stay “popular,” stay where you are. You’re a prosecutor, Jim, not a politician. Prosecutors do not, contrary to popular CW (common wisdom), make the jump successfully to higher offices like Governor or Senator. Reilly failed, Harshbarger failed, and you will fail (again), but you might take the Democratic party down with you when you do (like Harshbarger did). STAY HOME. Run for reelection as AG. DO NOT by any stretch of the imagination equate the excitement of your gawd-awful former campaign staff with any sort of activist excitement, cuz, we been there, we done that, and I know a SLEW of activists who would happily work against your campaign should you jump in.
PS/Update/Addendum: And as for the Grossman aspect, which Dick talks about in his post…well, let’s just say that he looks kinda shady going after endorsements from Panagiotakos and Murphy around here. Whatever candidate they think is great is someone I probably will not. Or, to put it another way…I want to run. Screaming.
From the local Markey campaign office:
Also, on the bill: Lowell’s faves - State Senator Donoghue and former State Senator Panagiotakos. I’d expect other electeds and activists to be there.
From the City of Lowell:
Wednesday, June 5, 8pm: Deadline to register to vote for Special Election. Election office is open until 8pm. Registration forms postmarked by this day are also accepted.
Wednesday, June 5: Approximate date for Special Election absentee ballot availability. Confirm availability with election office if you plan to vote over the counter.
Saturday, June 22: 10am – 3pm Election Office open for over the counter absentee voting
Monday, June 24: 12:00 noon deadline to apply for absentee ballot. If you are applying receive ballot via postal mail, it is highly advisable to apply before this time.
Tuesday, June 25: Special General Election. Polls are open 7am – 8pm.
All absentee ballots must be received in the Election Office by 8pm to be counted.
Contact the Election Office if you need to verify your voter registration status: 978-674-1200
You may vote absentee for any, and only any, of the following reasons: 1) Absence from the City during polling hours, 2) Disability; or 3) Religious beliefs.
The Primary is one week from yesterday.
A note from Ariela: This is the same night as the fund raiser for the bombing victims being held at the UMass Lowell Inn & Conference Center. It is understood that at 6pm, many of the attendees will be walking over to the ICC for that event, as well. I hope to see you all soon.
After the 2012 election, it didn’t take long for me to brag about how we routed Scott Brown: Groundgame (h/t Andrew Howe & Ariela Gragg, et al)
This map is a screen grab from The Boston Globe:
Excuse me, … I can’t stop chuckling. *deep breath* Anyways, let’s look at what happened in Lowell. (more…)
I took some phone video (as best I could) of Ed Markey tonight, who was in Lowell. I didn’t catch the very beginning but got most of it. Posting it as is (I haven’t checked it for audio levels and such). So if you missed Ed Markey tonight you can listen to his speech. It was very well received by the crowd tonight at The Old Court.
Crossposted from BlueMassGroup:
I thought better of it, and came to the conclusion to write such a comment would be taking a giant squat on Dan’s effort to promote Lynch. Thus, tantamount to ‘hijacking.’ As we endeavor to play nice, this Primary season, I chose to take my observation and remarks away from Dan’s work, placing it here, to stand on it’s own.
Please note the closing frame of the recently debuted Lynch ad, as seen on Youtube:
Dick Howe and Marie Sweeney are hosting an informational meeting on Ed Markey Tuesday night, at the Pollard Library first floor at 7pm. The purpose is to:
learn about Ed Markey’s background, position on the issues, and voting record in Congress. We will also discuss the likely timetable for the special election to fill the U.S. Senate seat now held by John Kerry.
First, I have to say, way to jump in there Markey people - that’s being on the ball. Second, it’s a huge plus in Markey’s favor that Dick Howe is already on that bandwagon. I respect and admire Dick a lot on matters both issue-oriented and on electoral horserace stuff. He doesn’t always pick a favorite in a Democratic primary (and it does appear we’ll have one) so I feel that’s actually somewhat significant.
He also says:
Ed Markey has represented Massachusetts in Congress since 1976. He has a long and distinguished record but few outside his Congressional District, which is centered in his home town of Malden, know him very well. I’ve studied Ed Markey’s record very closely and I like what I see. I will be enthusiastically supporting him in this race. As I’ve talked about his candidacy, many people in Greater Lowell have told me they would like to know more about him. That’s the purpose of this meeting. Even if you’re on the fence, please join us and listen to what we have to say. There’s no commitment and everyone is invited.
If you are interested in the campaign, please go to the “Lowell for Ed Markey” page on Facebook and “like” us. That’s the best way to get information and to follow events. If you want to communicate with me directly, send an email to DickHoweJr[at]gmail.com. Thanks, and I hope to see you Tuesday night.
I’ll probably see folks there, if my other project (and the reason that Jack and I have been a bit too busy to post a lot lately) is finished and ready to launch. Yeah, that’s right, pay attention to this space later on this week, we have a really cool announcement!
I was watching local news this morning and they had a segment on Governor Patrick’s and MassDOT’s new transportation plan (pdf). I think I owe the Governor a small apology as the things listed prominently as revenue sources for addressing the structural deficits, crumbing infrastructure, and needed transportation investments included MBTA fee hikes. I was all set to write a huffy blog post about that, and I will get to that in a minute, but it appears that the mention of MBTA fee increases is modest, if anything, in the actual report, so now I’m a little miffed at Channel 7 instead.
Since that early report, I have heard the Governor on WBUR on my way into work (audio not up yet) and read some online articles like on Boston.com and skimmed the revenue section of the report itself (as linked above). I have to say, the plan/report takes the situation pretty head on and has a very wide net in its revenue suggestions. And the report is not Boston-centric; although of course most of the public transit is in the Boston area, there is a call for a Boston-Springfield line (long overdue) and other projects. (more…)
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